Another Mystery Model

Thursday, June 26, 2025

Apparently Turnout was NOT the Problem

In the last 10 years or so, a new generation of Politics Amateurs—people like me, who like politics, but weren't trained in it—have been trying to make sense of the political scene.  What happens when the Economy is like this, what happens when there is a big scandal in the White House, etc, etc.  The older generation had a handle on this, but (a) we don't trust their instincts, and (b) these are different people, and they don't behave the same way. 

First, let me out up a screen capture, so that my list of posts won't show just a uppercase 'A':


Well, I don't trust this Nate Cohn person completely, but it's an interesting idea that all the young people are drifting towards MAGA, and, of course, Trump.  I think people who first got to know Trump because of TV, are accustomed to hearing lies from him, and knew that he would change his mind several times a week.  As a TV personality, that would not have bothered them.  But some of the slower-witted ones let that lower expectation carry over to the presidential election.

A president who changes his mind several times a week is a problem to Congress, to government departments, to the Senate, to everyone.  We have now learned to live with various branches of government that regard this constant vacillation as a feature, not a bug.  It prevents the 'Liberals' from formulating a policy about anything.  But it also prevents the Administration from formulating much of any sort of policy either.  To think that the voters—essentially Generation X—are able to tolerate this policy-free state of existence, is very scary.

Kay

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